« My SSRN page is up | Main | Morning after, part two »
The morning after
1) It'll probably be full employment for second amendment lawyers for four years. For decades we played the safety position. Now we're front line.
2) Maybe, just maybe, the Repubs will remember that they came to power as small-government conservatives, and fell when they became big-government conservatives.
3) The Demos have some problems unsolvable by government, and will screw up much of the others. Obama's messianic message means the disappointment will be all the greater. Like the Repubs, they'll let power go to their heads in a year or two. If the Repubs do ask "What would Goldwater do?" they may return in 2012. But, then, if they could have figured that out, they'd never have gotten to this point.
4) The market will go up. Much of the economy is based on circular reasoning. People think it's prosperous, they spend and it becomes prosperous. Up to today, the media (a/k/a the extended Obama campaign) has run it as doom and gloom. Starting today, and accelerating with the inauguration, they'll run it as happy days are here again, and the economy will respond accordingly. Until the next bubble pops. Because the market is full of gamblers, who can't quit when they're ahead.
[Typo fixed, thanks).
· Politics
17 Comments | Leave a comment
The one consolation of this loss was the fact George Bush was no friend of gun owners so hopefully things will stay relatively constant for the next 4 years.
PS - I saw he was no friend of gun owners for 3 reasons: his willingness to renew the AWB, ATF aggressive enforcement of dealers, and the Solictor Generals opinion that "shall not be infringed" means the government can ban guns.
Philip J. Berg v. Barack Obama, et al U.S. Supreme Court, No. 08-570, filed October 30, 2008. Contesting Obama's eligibility to run for president
http://www.supremecourtus.gov/docket/08-570.htm
DOCKET ENTRY:
Oct 30 2008 Petition for a writ of certiorari before judgment filed. (Response due December 1, 2008)
News from WorldNetDaily.com:
TITLE: Will Supreme Court have say in presidency?
SUBTITLE: Schedule includes campaign response to questions on Obama birthplace
http://www.wnd.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=80072
". . . Souter set a schedule for a response from Obama to the challenge from attorney Philip J. Berg."
"In a statement today, Berg said he was told by a clerk for Souter that his application for an injunction to stay the election was denied. But he also said the defendants "are required to respond to the Writ of Certiorari" by Dec. 1."
"The biggest question is why Obama, if there exists a Hawaii birth certificate, simply hasn't ordered it made available to settle the rumors."
"The governor's office in Hawaii said it was valid, but rejected requests for access, and left ambiguous whether the Obama birth certificate on file with the Department of Health was originally generated by a Hawaii doctor after Obama was born in Hawaii, or generated in Kenya and subsequently registered by the Obama family in Hawaii."
WorldNetDaily Exclusive
http://www.worldnetdaily.com/?pageId=79900
TITLE: Doubts persist about Obama birth certificate
Considerable evidence still points to candidate's birth in Kenya
November 02, 2008
"To date, Obama and his campaign have refused to disclose the name of the doctor delivering the candidate or the precise hospital where he was born."
"The main reason doubts persist regarding Obama's birth certificate is this question: If an original Hawaii-doctor-generated and Hawaii-hospital-released Obama birth certificate exists, why wouldn't the senator and his campaign simply order the document released and end the controversy?"
"That Obama has not ordered Hawaii officials to release the document leaves doubts as to whether an authentic Hawaii birth certificate exists for Obama."
"Rather, the failure to release the document fuels the theory – true or not – that the Obama family, shortly after Obama's birth overseas, returned to Hawaii and registered at the Hawaii Department of Health the original Obama birth certificate that had been issued by the doctor and hospital that delivered Obama in Kenya."
MY QUESTIONS:
If Obama was born in Kenya then Obama would have to resign. Otherwise Congress would be forced to impeach Obama.
And if Obama won the presidency on a fraud will Biden then become president or will he have to resign as well.
If Obama and Biden are forced out of office by resignation or impeachment will that mean Nancy Pelosi, Speaker of the House will rise to the Office of the President and Robert Byrd, President pro tempore of the Senate will rise to the Office of the Vice President? Or will McCain/Palin take their respective offices by default? Or will there be a new election?
the market is limited in its ability to fulfill the wishes of magic thinking. as long as the fed controls the money supply and the treasury sustains a corporate state, there will be booms and busts -- and big booms are followed by really big busts, especially when agitated with a neokeynesian welfare/warfare program.
watch. out.
Don Hamrick,
"If Obama was born in Kenya then Obama would have to resign."
You expect that this uber-egotistical fraud will resign, of his own accord? Do you own a herd of rainbow-farting unicorns?
"Otherwise Congress would be forced to impeach Obama."
Yeah, that'll happen...about the time that the mid-day sky is darkened by flocks of flying pigs.
Look, I don't like the SOB, and I've also got some serious questions about his eligibility for the office and the voter and campaign finance fraud that helped put him there. But none of that matters. He's won, fairly or not (I say not), eligible or not - he's the next POTUS, and we have to deal with it.
I think that all of us would be far better off if we help to remold the Republican Party along its Goldwater-Reagan lines, as a party of determined, rational conservatives with a coherent plan to improve this country by getting the government off of the backs of the free and productive. Let Obama and the Dems screw up - believe me, they WILL. When that happens, a well-organized and principled opposition will be there to pick up the pieces. Remember, Clinton moved very much to the center after getting his arse handed to him in '94. '94 happened because he over-reached, he was too ideological.
If Obama is smart, he'll learn that lesson and govern as a centrist - and good for the country. If he governs as an extreme Leftist (and he may), then good for the Republicans - then we'll have gridlock, and the Lefties will get nothing more of consequence that they want.
Look, if only 3 out of 100 voters had voted the other way, McCain would be POTUS-elect. Obama cannot afford to piss off those 3 (and probably the 2 or 3 others that the Republican nominee would have gotten if Bush wasn't President and the economy didn't suck). He got no mandate, just a victory. He's got to do something with it.
Finally, racism as a crutch is gone, forever. Hillary will never be POTUS. Al Franken lost.
I agree Paul.
It's time for our side to suck it up and make it through the next 2 years (I expect a Congressional bloodbath in 2010).
But I am going on record:
I will be up early on January 21st. If the Magic Rainbows are late delivering my gold-farting Unicorn there will be consequences.
Promises have been made.
One of the symptoms (I believe) of how the Republican party has lost it's way is demonstrated by the alarming trend of those of libertarian bent to vote with the Democrats! The Republican party should be their natural haven! Limited government, individual freedom valued (instead of a version of collectivism), interpretation of the constitution based on historical intent, right to keep and bear arms as an individual freedom, etc.
I think it means something significant (what exactly?) that instead either the Democrats (in spite of fascist leanings?) or Libertarians have attracted the majority of this political demographic. Why??!!??
Regarding this speculation about where Obama was born, WHO KNOWS? IF Obama was born in a hospital in Hawaii, there's almost certainly a hospital record of that fact, and it could be verified even today.
IF, however, was not born in a hospital in Hawaii, then he could have been born at home (in Hawaii), or he could have been born outside the USA wherever. If he was born outside the USA, one would assume that his mother was smart enough to tell the registrar of records in Hawaii that her son was born at home, in Hawaii, without a birth attendant, and she was there simply to record the birth.
Women can and do give birth by themselves, without birth attendants. IF she did claim to have given birth by herself, without an attendant, she would not have been the first 18-year-old to give birth alone. If so, it's her word against others as to where the child was born.
HOWEVER, the bigger proof of birth outside the USA has not surfaced, and the fact that it has not surfaced suggests that the claim has no legs: IF his mother gave birth outside the USA, she would have taken a commercial airplane back to Hawaii. There should have been a list of all passengers on the plan, and it would have included a new born baby IF one was on board. ...
Seriously, folks need to give up on this fantasy "hope." There is no reason to assume or imagine that Obama was born anywhere other than Hawaii. ... However, NONE of us knows for sure where we were born. I don't remember my birth; do you remember yours?
"2) Maybe, just maybe, the Repubs will remember that they came to power as small-government conservatives, and fell when they became big-government conservatives."
That would be one great silver lining all right. Especially if they didn't forget as soon as they got into power, like so many of the Class of 1994.
Don -
That suit is almost as nutty as yours (and that's saying a lot).
Let it go. Even if (very doubtfully) true. Let it go.
REBUTTAL TO GMC70:
What is so nutty about open carry around the country? Just because you call somebody or something a name does not make it true. You just don't want to see "National Open Carry Handgun come true.
isn't "big-government conservative" an oxymoron?
dc
The whole "let it go, he's our president" crap...you been fitted for those "chains you can believe in" yet? He sure as hell isn't MY president, I don't follow communists, and all you people who say crap like "4 years blah blah blah" ARE the problem with the repug party and make the french look like they have a spine.
This ENTIRE (s)election was dirty enough to make chicago look clean.
As for his birth...hmmm, where does he have relatives in high places? Oh yeah, the coutry he was born in. How's THEIR record keeping?
He is your President. You saying he isn't has no effect on that fact.
*affect
I agree with Ian. Worrying about where he is born is just another version of crying over spilt milk.
MISSING THE POINT:
If the evidence proves Obama was born in Kenya and the Constitution prohibits citizens not born in the U.S. from running for president and the U.S. Supreme Court does not find accountability in the U.S. Constitution then there is nothing to prohibit Vladimir Putin, Khadafi, or even Osama bin Laden from running for president in 2012. There will then be no Rule of law but the Rule of Man.
Excellent analysis, Mr. Hardy. Love your comment about it's being full employment for 2nd Amend lawyers.
Typo here: "they send and it becomes prosperous." ... Of course, you meant to type, "they spend and it becomes prosperous"