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« A southwestern perspective | Main | Candadian school trustee raises controversy »

Brady Center on "crime surge"

Posted by David Hardy · 20 December 2006 09:47 AM

FBI reports that, after many years of declines, violent crime went up 5%. The Brady Center promptly issued this press release proclaiming it a "a surge in violent crime" and attributing it to guns and less federal money for police.

As to the first: hmmm... funny how crime rates declined for years, as Americans bought more guns.

As to the second: why are cities so dependent on federal funds, for their most basic task of policing their communities?

· antigun groups

4 Comments | Leave a comment

Magus | December 20, 2006 1:06 PM | Reply

Somebody correct me if I'm wrong in my math...

Let's say there were 100 crimes in one year.
The next year there is only 50.
That's a 50% decrease...
Then say the following year there is again 100 crimes--a 100% increase in the crime rate.

In one direction [down] there was a 50% change, in the other [up] there was a 100% change. Both changes were only 50 crimes though.

Small number precentages [5% for example] showing a decline can mean a very large number of fewer crimes. Small number precentage [again 5%] increases aren't anywhere near the same number of actual crimes.

So, after years of declining violent crime, a 5% increase, while nondisreable, is not a "the sky is falling" situation.

It would seem "The Brady bunch" enjoys dancing in the blood of others.

Daniel | December 20, 2006 5:10 PM | Reply

very good observation magus.

Windy Wilson | December 20, 2006 6:57 PM | Reply

By the Brady Bunch's logic then, the gun room at the Autry Museum should be the most dangerous place in LA.

dad29 | December 21, 2006 9:33 AM | Reply

The Party Line is that the Bush Administration is culpable. This was devised in the Bloomberg mansion when B met with a number of other big-city Mayors during the summer, among them Tom Barrett of Milwaukee.

But what's REALLY interesting is that the Milwaukee violent crime rate jumped 35% (thirty-five percent)--in a State where CCW remains ILLEGAL.

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