Brady Campaign--more on Heller
Check out the Brady Campaign Blog. It's a generic discussion of their top dog, Paul Helmke's surrender in Heller.
It sounds a little bit embarassed.
That would be understandable. After all, earlier this year Helmke posted of the "the long-standing view of virtually every Federal court – that the Second Amendment has an obvious militia purpose, and is no barrier to the adoption of gun control laws by legislative bodies..." They've long argued that view. In fact their main webpage still has Helmke saying he's confident they will win. And of course they fundraised off Heller.
And now he's announced they are totally hosed. They're going to lose in the Court, and they've already lost in the minds of Americans, by a 75% vote.
I can't help but wonder -- what Justice is going to want to sign onto an opinion going his way, now? The Court has to be deeply concerned about its reputation. It's got no appropriations power, no police, no miltiary. It depends on respect in a way the other two branches do not. Who would want to sign on to an opinion taking a position, where its chief advocate just publicly confessed that it's a loser, not only in the courts, but in minds of 3/4 of Americans?
UPDATE: I think SCOTUSBlog's statpack reflects, for cases not yet decided, a "best guess" as to who writes the opinion, based on which side they think will win and who, on the likely majority, is about due to be assigned an opinion. The latest is the June 9 edition, and I looked up some June 12 opinions. Two out of three had authors other than the ones listed in the statpack. I think the real assignments are kept as quiet as the opinions, since often, as in this case, if you know the assignment you know the outcome.